Reevaluating 32 bold NFL predictions, five weeks in: Which are on target, and which need a do-over? — SkimNews
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- Keon Coleman (Bills) has 224 receiving yards, putting him on pace for 761 yards — right on track for the predicted 750+ yards and at least five touchdowns, though he managed only 7 yards in Week 5 against a Moore-less offense.
- Isaiah Likely leads the Giants in receptions with 33 catches to Malik Nabers' 29, validating the prediction that Likely — not the recovering Nabers — would pace the team in catches.
- Montaric Brown (Jaguars) is allowing 3.8 yards per coverage snap, far worse than the predicted 1.1, though Brown has missed all but six snaps over the past two games with a hamstring injury.
- Alontae Taylor (Titans) sits exactly at the predicted 1.4 yards allowed per coverage snap, matching the free-agent signing's 2023-24 trend after a 1.0 mark in 2025.
- Jordan Love posted a 94 QBR in the Packers' 31-7 demolition of the Bears in Week 5, reviving a top-three MVP prediction that looked dead after a slow first four weeks.
- Terrance Ferguson (Rams) is on injured reserve with an ankle injury, but the prediction of eight touchdown catches remains alive because he showed he could be the No. 2 or 3 receiving option when Puka Nacua and Davante Adams were out.
Why it matters: The five-week checkpoint exposes which preseason swings were genuinely informed and which were shots in the dark — Likely leading the Giants in catches and Taylor sitting at 1.4 yards per coverage snap confirm correct reads, while Coleman's per-game pace makes the Bills receiver prediction look like sound forecasting rather than a flier. Several predictions remain live precisely because a Week 5 performance (Love's 94 QBR) or an injury context (Ferguson on IR after showing real role) shifted the math, meaning the next five weeks will meaningfully separate luck from foresight on player awards, contract bets, and division outcomes.
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