Ravens vs. Falcons odds, picks, predictions: Use Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 for $55 bonus on NFL Week 5 — SkimNews
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- Lamar Jackson is sidelined by injury, forcing the Ravens to start backup Tyler Huntley on Sunday Night Football against a Falcons team that has scored 80 points in its last two games since Michael Penix Jr. returned from a long-term absence.
- Michael Penix Jr.'s return flipped Atlanta's offense from 16 total points in the first two weeks (with Cooper Rush starting) to 80 in the last two, with Bijan Robinson piling up 339 rushing yards and four touchdowns during that stretch.
- Kalshi prediction markets price a Falcons win at $0.62 (62% implied probability) and a Ravens win at $0.39 (39%), with the 3.5-point spread and 43.5-point total both hovering near a 50/50 coin flip.
- Jesse Minter's Ravens have scored 34-plus points twice in their first three games and enter on a two-game win streak, but Jackson's absence leaves the offense in question — the SportsLine Projection Model gives Baltimore a 47% win probability across 10,000 simulations.
- Zay Flowers is listed as questionable with a foot injury after being hampered earlier in the year by a hamstring issue, further thinning Baltimore's passing game behind Huntley.
- The Falcons have won each of their last two games by 21 points and play their third straight primetime game, with Drake London thriving since Penix's return to anchor the suddenly explosive attack.
Why it matters: Jackson's absence turns a primetime matchup between two two-game win streaks into a clear referendum on Atlanta's resurgent offense versus Baltimore's run-first identity without its MVP. Kalshi's 62/39 split and the SportsLine model's 47% Ravens win rate together suggest bettors see this as closer than Atlanta's recent 21-point blowouts imply, with the spread market effectively a coin flip.
Ask SkimNews
