Houston vs. Texas Tech prediction, odds, time: Week 3 college football Friday picks by proven model — SkimNews
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- No. 13 Texas Tech hosts No. 22 Houston at 8 p.m. ET Friday at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock in both teams' Big 12 opener
- Texas Tech has won the last seven meetings with Houston, including a 35-11 blowout last October
- Houston is 2-0 and averaging nearly 600 yards per game; Texas Tech is also 2-0, and both beat Oregon State — Houston 33-20, Texas Tech 35-24
- Texas Tech opened as high as a 13.5-point favorite but has been bet down to -7.5, with the over/under at 52.5
- SportsLine's projection model, on a 33-21 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks since 2024, simulated the game 10,000 times and projects the Over with 54 combined points
- Texas Tech QB Will Hammond (76.7% completion rate) and Houston QB Conner Weigman (425 yards, 4 TDs) lead offenses whose defenses are allowing 8.0 and 7.8 yards per pass attempt, respectively
Why it matters: The line collapsing from -13.5 to -7.5 shows bettors don't fully buy Texas Tech's seven-game dominance streak against Houston — Houston's near-600-yard offense against Oregon State has clearly moved the market. With the model projecting 54 combined points and both quarterbacks completing nearly 70%+ of their throws, this Big 12 opener has the makings of a shootout rather than another Red Raiders rout.
Ask SkimNews
