Mississippi State vs. Minnesota prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 2 college football picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Kamario Taylor threw four touchdowns on 22-of-34 passing in his Mississippi State debut last week, a 62-13 blowout of Lamar that sets up a quick follow-up road test at Minnesota
- Mississippi State sits as a 1.5-point favorite with the over/under at 54.5 for the 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, broadcast on CBS and Paramount+
- SportsLine's projection model has been upgraded for the 2026 season to better account for transfer portal movement and is on a 33-20 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks since 2024
- After 10,000 simulations, the model picks the Under (54.5) and projects 54 combined points, with the Under connecting 54% of the time despite Taylor's explosive Week 1 stat line
- The model also flags one side of the spread hitting almost 60% of the time, though the specific pick is gated behind SportsLine's site
Why it matters: Bettors following the SportsLine model have generated strong returns on its 33-20 CFB money-line run since 2024, and this Week 2 non-conference game gives them a fresh data point on the model's 2026 upgrade that now weighs transfer portal movement more heavily — a meaningful shift for a Mississippi State offense led by a debuting quarterback whose first performance was already explosive.
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