Mississippi State vs. Minnesota prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 2 college football picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Mississippi State is a 1.5-point favorite over Minnesota in Week 2, with an over/under of 54.5 points, for a Saturday 3:30 PM ET kickoff at Huntington Bank Stadium broadcast on CBS and Paramount+.
- Kamario Taylor debuted at Mississippi State quarterback with 22-of-34 passing for four touchdowns in a 62-13 blowout of Lamar, making both teams 1-0 heading into the matchup.
- SportsLine's projection model simulated the game 10,000 times and projects 54 combined points, picking the Under at 54.5 — a bet the source says has hit 54% of the time in simulations.
- The model also flags one side of the spread hitting nearly 60% of the time, though the specific side is gated behind a SportsLine paywall.
- The model is on a 33-20 run on top-rated college football money-line picks since 2024 and has been upgraded for the 2026 season to better weight transfer portal movement.
Why it matters: With Mississippi State favored by just 1.5 and both teams entering 1-0 before entering conference play, bettors weighing the spread and total have a model on a documented 33-20 CFB money-line run pointing toward the Under at 54.5 despite Taylor's four-touchdown debut. The narrow spread signals oddsmakers see this as a near-pick'em, making the model's spread pick — hitting ~60% in simulations — the more actionable read for anyone following projections rather than gut calls.
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