Eagles vs. Commanders prediction, spread, odds, time: 'Sunday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews

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- Philadelphia Eagles enter Sunday’s matchup on a five-game losing streak at 2-5, third in the NFC East and 1-2 on the road, after a 38-21 loss to the Cowboys on Monday Night Football.
- Washington Commanders are 1-4-1, fourth in the NFC East and 1-1-1 at home, following a 23-17 loss to the 49ers on Oct. 19; Washington also leads the all-time series 91-88-5 while Philadelphia has won three of the last four meetings.
- Jalen Hurts is out for the year with blood clots, while Commanders receiver Terry McLaurin is also out for the year with a knee injury.
- Washington Commanders are a six-point favorite against Philadelphia, with a 40.5-point total and an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md.
- SportsLine's model, after 10,000 simulations, projects 43 combined points and puts Over 40.5 at 55%; the total hit in eight of the last 10 meetings, while its top-rated NFL picks entered Week 8 at 58-51 since 2024.
- Saquon Barkley should be ready against Washington despite leaving Monday's game with a back issue, with 43 carries for 244 yards and one touchdown in five games.
- Jayden Daniels has completed 64.7% of his passes for 759 yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions in four starts, while adding 25 rushes for 213 yards and two touchdowns.
Why it matters: Washington enters as the six-point favorite despite Philadelphia’s five-game skid, giving bettors a spread choice separate from the model’s total. SportsLine discloses Over 40.5 at 55% across 10,000 simulations but does not identify which spread side clears 50%, leaving the second recommendation unresolved for readers.
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