Ravens vs. Falcons Odds: Atlanta 3-Point Favorites as Jackson Ruled — SkimNews
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- Baltimore Ravens (3-1, tied atop AFC North with Cleveland) visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-2, tied for NFC South lead with Carolina) on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with both teams carrying two-game winning streaks.
- Lamar Jackson has been ruled out with an ankle injury, forcing veteran backup Tyler Huntley into the starting role — a downgrade that contributed to Atlanta flipping from field-goal underdog to 3-point favorite.
- The odds list Atlanta at -172 on the money line with an over/under of 43.5, and SportsLine's Mike Tierney is leaning Under 43.5 — a bet that has cashed in four of the five Ravens-Falcons meetings since 2006 and in two of Baltimore's last three games.
- Derrick Henry anchors Baltimore's ground game with 89 carries, 374 yards, seven touchdowns, and three explosive runs of 20-plus yards (long of 32) through four games, a workload likely to increase with Huntley under center.
- Atlanta's defense, ranked eighth in the NFL allowing 313 total yards and 23 points per game, is a key Tierney factor driving the Under lean and the line movement toward the Falcons.
- Mike Tierney enters the matchup on a 32-14-1 run specifically on Ravens picks, a stretch that has returned $1,627 to $100 bettors across his last 47 Baltimore selections.
Why it matters: Jackson's absence is the single biggest swing factor: Atlanta moved from a field-goal underdog to a 3-point favorite, and Tierney's Under 43.5 lean leans heavily on Atlanta's eighth-ranked defense (313 yards, 23 points allowed per game) facing a backup quarterback. Bettors backing the Under at 43.5 are betting that Atlanta's defense plus Derrick Henry's 4.2-yard carry volume (89 attempts, 7 TDs) produce a grind-it-out game rather than a Jackson-led explosion.
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