Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina prediction, odds: Week 7 college football Friday picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Appalachian State (3-2, 0-1 Sun Belt) visits Coastal Carolina (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt) on Friday at 8 p.m. ET from Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C., with the Mountaineers installed as 1.5-point favorites and the total set at 48.5.
- Coastal Carolina ended a three-game losing streak with a Week 6 win over Marshall, while Appalachian State enters looking to avoid a three-game skid following back-to-back losses to NC State and Old Dominion.
- The Chanticleers won last year's meeting 45-37, per the source.
- SportsLine's model simulated the matchup 10,000 times and projects Under 48.5, forecasting 46 total points with the Under hitting in 55% of simulations.
- Both squads rank in the Sun Belt's bottom five in rushing average but top three in takeaways, supporting the model's defensive battle thesis.
- The Under has gone 9-3-1 (75%) in Appalachian State's last 13 games following a loss, a trend the model leans on heavily.
- SportsLine's model enters Week 7 on a 48-40 run on top-rated college football picks, returning more than $400 for $100 players.
Why it matters: The model is asking bettors to ride the Under despite two teams whose recent games have skewed low-scoring — 3 of Appalachian State's last 4 have stayed under — and it expects a defense-driven grind rather than the 45-37 shootout these teams produced a year ago. With the total already trimmed 3.5 points from the opener, the market has partially bought in, but the model's 55% Under simulation rate gives sharp bettors a thin edge to exploit at sportsbooks.
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