Texans vs. Jaguars prediction, odds, time: 2026 NFL London game picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Jacksonville Jaguars (4-1) face the Houston Texans (1-4) at Wembley Stadium in London with kickoff set for 9:30 a.m. ET, aiming to take an early stranglehold on the AFC South
- Betting lines list Jacksonville as a 2.5-point favorite over Houston with a 42.5-point over/under for total points scored
- SportsLine's model simulated the game 10,000 times and projected 45 combined points, backing the Over 42.5 to hit in 53% of simulations
- Marvin Harrison Jr. makes his Texans debut after being traded from Arizona, joining Tank Dell and C.J. Stroud — who has six TDs and zero INTs — in Houston's pass attack
- Trevor Lawrence is averaging 235 passing yards per game with 11 TDs and faces a Texans defense that ranks 26th against the pass
- The Jaguars' defense has held four of five opponents to 17 points or fewer, and the Under has hit in four straight Jacksonville games
- David Montgomery is out for Houston, which has scored 26-plus points three times in five games but allowed 30-plus points twice
Why it matters: Houston's offense has been volatile — 26-plus points in three of five games but 30-plus allowed twice — while Jacksonville's defense has held four of five opponents to 17 or fewer, creating a statistical clash that makes the 42.5-point total the central betting debate rather than the 2.5-point spread.
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