Chiefs vs. Dolphins predictions, NFL picks, start time: Use best Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 for $55 bonus — SkimNews

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- Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) host the Miami Dolphins (0-2) in a Week 3 matchup scheduled for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET, with Chiefs win shares trading at $0.86 and Dolphins at $0.15 on Kalshi.
- Patrick Mahomes has contributed to six total touchdowns in two games in his return from a torn ACL, with the offseason addition of running back Kenneth Walker III boosting Kansas City's offense.
- Malik Willis has completed less than 60% of his passes with two total touchdowns — and the source notes those two scores are the only touchdowns the Dolphins have produced this season.
- Kansas City averages 32 points per game while Miami scores 13 per contest and allows 31 points per game defensively, per the source.
- Kalshi lists the Chiefs winning by more than 10.5 points at $0.53 (Yes) versus $0.48 (No), with the over/under 46.5 combined points sitting at $0.50 (Yes) versus $0.51 (No).
- The SportsLine Projection Model has Miami winning in just 17% of its 10,000 simulations, with Kansas City winning by more than 10.5 points in over 60% of scenarios.
Why it matters: Miami's only offensive touchdowns this season both came on Malik Willis pass attempts — the run game and wide receivers have produced zero scores — paired with a defense allowing 31 points per game, which is why the SportsLine model gives the Dolphins a win in only 17% of simulations going into Sunday.
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