Washington vs. Washington State prediction, odds, time: 2026 Apple Cup picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- SportsLine's model is going Under 50.5 points in Sunday's Apple Cup after 10,000 simulations, projecting 48 combined points with the Under hitting 54% of the time; the model is on a 32-19 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks since 2024.
- Washington is a 23.5-point favorite over Washington State in the 118th Apple Cup meeting, with kickoff set for 4 p.m. ET at Husky Stadium and the over/under at 50.5; the Huskies are ranked No. 16 after reaching the 2023 national title game.
- Washington has gone just 15-11 since joining the Big Ten and leads the all-time series 77-34-6, though four of the last seven Apple Cup meetings have totaled 45 points or fewer (with two others exceeding 80).
- Washington State returns to a reformed Pac-12 after two years as an independent (also 15-11), starting UC Davis transfer QB Caden Pinnick under new head coach Kirby Moore.
- Demond Williams returns as Washington's starting QB after torching the Cougars last year, going 16-of-19 for 288 yards and four TDs in the blowout win.
Why it matters: A model hitting roughly 63% on CFB money-line picks since 2024 is leaning Under 50.5 (projecting 48 combined points, hitting 54% of simulations) and says one side of the 23.5-point spread lands well over 60% of the time, giving bettors on Sunday's Apple Cup a quantified, model-driven pick instead of a hunch.
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