Kent State vs. Sacramento State prediction, odds, time: Week 9 college football Friday picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Sacramento State hosts the first-ever meeting at 10:30 p.m. ET Friday from Hornet Stadium; the Hornets are 1-7 overall, 0-5 in MAC play and on a six-game losing streak after a 34-17 loss to Ball State.
- Kent State enters at 3-5 overall and 2-2 in MAC play after ending a three-game losing streak with a 35-20 Week 8 victory over Akron.
- Kent State is the seven-point favorite at -278 on the money line, while the game carries a 46.5-point over/under.
- SportsLine Projection Model picks Over 46.5, projects 51 combined points and produces a 63% Over rate across 10,000 simulations.
- SportsLine Projection Model says the Over is 3-1 for both squads when the total is below 50, while Kent State is 3-1 on the road and Sacramento State’s last home game exceeded its total.
- Kent State ranks 115th of 138 FBS teams in scoring defense and allows a 67.4% completion percentage, the eighth-highest in the sport; Sacramento State ranks 127th and has fewer takeaways than all but two college football teams.
- SportsLine Projection Model entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks and reports nearly $400 in returns for $100 bettors.
Why it matters: Bettors face two marked numbers: Kent State as a seven-point favorite and a 46.5-point total that SportsLine projects to reach 51, with the Over covering in 63% of 10,000 simulations. That case rests on Sacramento State ranking 127th in scoring defense and Kent State allowing a 67.4% completion percentage, not merely the visitor’s six-game skid.
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