2026 Masters odds: Model that nailed 16 majors reveals picks
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- Scottie Scheffler is the +550 favorite for the 2026 Masters, a two-time champion and world No. 1 who has finished T-4 or better in three of his six PGA Tour starts this season, per FanDuel odds cited in the article
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated the 2026 Masters 10,000 times and has previously nailed 16 majors, including the 2025 Masters, 2024 PGA Championship, and 2024 Open Championship
- Ludvig Åberg (+1700) is predicted to finish well outside the top 5, with the model citing his slide to No. 17 in the Official World Golf Ranking, a rough stretch of recent form, four missed cuts in eight career major starts, and unfavorable afternoon-morning tee times
- Tommy Fleetwood (+2200) is flagged as a strong value pick, backed by five top-25 finishes at Augusta in the past eight years (including a T3 in 2024) and four top-10 finishes already in 2026
- The 2026 Masters begins Thursday, April 9, 2026, at Augusta National Golf Club, with first round tee times starting at 7:40 a.m. ET and Scheffler teeing off at 1:44 p.m. ET
- Two longshots above +4000, including one priced around +8000, are also being targeted by the model as potential value plays that could deliver a massive payout
Why it matters: With Scheffler at +550 priced as a clear standalone favorite, the model's contrarian calls to fade Åberg — a +1700 pick whose world ranking has dropped to No. 17 — and to back Fleetwood at +2200 plus two longshots above +4000 could reshape the betting board. The model's track record of 16 correctly predicted majors, including three in 2025, gives its projections unusual credibility compared to standard pre-tournament handicapping.
