Cowboys vs. Packers odds, picks, Week 6 NFL predictions: Use Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 for $55 bonus — SkimNews
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- Green Bay Packers host the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in Week 6, with Packers favored at $0.52 on Kalshi versus Cowboys at $0.48, a near-coinflip margin
- Dallas Cowboys rank 31st in the NFL in total defense at 395.4 yards per game and are the worst team in the league at stopping the run, per the source's analysis
- Cowboys enter off an embarrassing home loss to the then-winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers despite ranking seventh in NFL scoring at 27.6 points per game
- SportsLine Projection Model, simulating every NFL game 10,000 times, has Green Bay winning by more than 1.5 points in 60% of its outcomes
- Kalshi lists the over/under of 53.5 total points at Yes $0.49 / No $0.52, with Dallas clearing that mark in three straight games before last week's 24-16 loss to the Bucs
- Green Bay has won two straight including a blowout of the Chicago Bears last week, though they haven't cleared 53.5 points since their Week 1 shootout with the Minnesota Vikings
Why it matters: The Cowboys' historically poor run defense (worst in the NFL) gives Green Bay's one-dimensional pass attack a runway to control the game at Lambeau, where the SportsLine model gives the Packers a 60% chance to cover the 1.5-point spread — a stark contrast to the near-50/50 Kalshi price that suggests bettors are giving Dallas too much credit for past offensive output.
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