2026 Week 1 NFL score predictions, best picks today: Expert reveals exact scores for every NFL game — SkimNews
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- Eric Cohen finished the 2025-26 NFL season with a 188-96-1 straight-up record (66%) on his picks and is now projecting exact scores for all 16 Week 1 games
- Houston Texans are Cohen's top Week 1 pick at +1.5 over the Bills, with a predicted final of Texans 23, Bills 20 and a money-line return of -101
- Josh Allen has been turnover-prone on the road with 10 turnovers versus just 5 passing touchdowns across more than three away starts, per Cohen's breakdown
- Houston has won four of the last five meetings against Buffalo, each by a single possession, and Houston's three victories over Buffalo since 2020 have all landed in a tight 22-23 vs. 19-20 scoring band
- Los Angeles Chargers at -9.5 against the Cardinals are the current largest Week 1 favorite, while seven Week 1 games carry a spread of 3 points or less
- Cohen is also calling for one road team to win by double digits, a result he flags as key for alternate-line and survivor-pool bettors
Why it matters: Bettors shopping for Week 1 edges get a free expert model that hit 66% straight-up last season, anchored by a contrarian Texans pick that leans on Allen's documented road turnover rate and a decade of single-possession Houston-Buffalo results — a specific data-driven stance rather than a chalk favorite, which matters in a week where seven games are lined at 3 or fewer points.
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