Jaguars Favored as Ravens Turn to Third QB Joe Fagnano — SkimNews

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- Lamar Jackson is on IR after thumb surgery and backup Tyler Huntley is out for the rest of the season with turf toe, leaving third quarterback Joe Fagnano to start Thursday against Jacksonville.
- Ravens sit at 4-4 after a third straight loss, a 36-10 defeat to the Bills, have scored just 33 total points over their past three games, and are playing on a short week.
- Kalshi is offering new users a $55 bonus when trading $25+ with promo code CBSSPORTS55; the Ravens are priced at $0.22 to beat Jacksonville, which trades at $0.79, while Jaguars by more than 10.5 points sits at $0.47 (No $0.54) and an over-39.5 combined total at $0.47 (No $0.54).
- Jaguars are 5-2 with their only losses to the Broncos and Texans, coming off a 42-7 demolition of the Colts after their bye week and allowing just 15.9 points per game.
- SportsLine Projection Model runs 10,000 simulations and gives the Jaguars a 51% chance to win by more than 10 points, with the teams combining for 40-plus in 60% of simulations and a final total above 45 points.
- Derrick Henry has 156 rushing yards over the past three games as defenses key on Baltimore's star running back because of the quarterback situation.
- Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,690 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions, while Bhayshul Tuten is a game-time decision after a first career 100-yard game and 55 receiving yards against Indianapolis before hurting his ankle.
Why it matters: Traders backing Jacksonville pay $0.79 a share against a $0.22 Ravens price, and SportsLine's 51% rate for a Jaguars win by 10-plus points sits above the roughly 47% implied by the $0.47 contract. Kalshi's $55 bonus lowers the $25 minimum trade, though CFTC-regulated contracts carry substantial loss risk.
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