Texas Tech vs. Colorado Odds, Predictions: Model Picks Under — SkimNews
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- Texas Tech (4-0, ranked No. 12) opens as a 13.5-point road favorite over Colorado (2-2) in Saturday's 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Folsom Field, with the over/under set at 49.5.
- SportsLine's model projected the Under 49.5 hitting in 53% of 10,000 simulations, with a total projection of 49 points, noting the 50.5 would be the lowest O/U of any Red Raiders game this season.
- Colorado is making a quarterback change, giving Utah transfer Isaac Wilson his Boulder starting debut after the Buffaloes managed just 13, 7, and 14 points in three FBS games.
- Texas Tech opened Big 12 play two weeks ago with a 28-26 win over then-ranked Houston, and is 1-4 all-time in Boulder — though Colorado won last year's meeting in Lubbock 41-27.
- Will Hammond has thrown for 968 yards with 4 TDs and 5 INTs for Texas Tech, while J'Koby Williams and Cameron Dickey have combined for over 500 rushing yards in a balanced attack.
- Colorado WR Joseph Williams leads the Buffaloes' passing game with 361 yards and 4 touchdowns, giving Wilson a top-tier target in his first start.
Why it matters: Colorado's 1-4 all-time mark against Texas Tech in Boulder is a rare historical edge for a 13.5-point underdog, but the Buffaloes' three-game FBS scoring drought (13-7-14) and a debuting transfer quarterback explain why the model is so lopsided on the Red Raiders. With the model hitting at better than 70% confidence on one side of the spread, bettors face a heavily skewed line built on Colorado's offensive collapse rather than Texas Tech's dominance.
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