Week 8 NFL odds, picks, predictions: Computer model backs Steelers and Rams — SkimNews

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- NFL pauses international games for Week 8, leaving an entirely domestic slate; the article flags Ravens-Bills (-3.5), Vikings-Lions (-3), Chiefs-Broncos (+1.5) and Bears-Seahawks (-3) as possible postseason rematches.
- Patriots give Miami 7.5 points; if the line holds, the Patriots would be the season’s third-biggest road favorite, while the Dolphins are one of two home underdogs.
- SportsLine runs each NFL game through 10,000 simulations and says the model is up more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since inception; it entered Week 8 of the 2026 season at 58-51.
- Steelers are picked to cover -3.5 against the Browns with a 43.5 total, supported by a 22-game home win streak over Cleveland dating to 2004; Pittsburgh is 3-0 ATS at home and has scored 30-plus points in consecutive home games.
- Rams are picked to cover -7 against the Chargers with a 43.5 total, doing so in well over 50% of the model’s simulations, which also produce a touchdown-plus Los Angeles victory.
- Chargers are the nominal visitors in their own home stadium against the Rams, seeking their first win and first cover after nine straight losses dating to last year and an 0-9 stretch against the spread.
- Justin Herbert has thrown 12 turnovers versus six touchdowns during the Chargers’ nine-game skid, while Jim Harbaugh’s team is 0-9 ATS and Sean McVay’s Rams are 6-2 ATS in nonconference games since 2025, the NFL’s second-best spread record.
Why it matters: For bettors, the model offers more than $5,000 in claimed returns on $100 stakes since inception and a 58-51 record on top-rated picks dating to 2024. Week 8 tests that record on lopsided spreads: Pittsburgh owns a 22-game home streak over Cleveland, while the Chargers are 0-9 ATS and visit a Rams team 6-2 ATS in nonconference games since 2025.
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