Putin-Anwar Kazan Deal: Crude for Dollars

Get the Geopolitics newsletter
Daily geopolitics — wars, elections, sanctions, the diplomatic moves that move markets. Free.
- Putin and Malaysia's Anwar Ibrahim declared at the ASEAN-Russia Commemorative Summit in Kazan that Russia will maintain long-term supply of oil, gas, and petrol to Malaysia — even though Malaysia is itself a net gas exporter until 2035.
- The agreement functions as a de facto currency swap of rubles for US dollars with no expiry, ensuring Russia receives continuous USD flows from crude sales regardless of Malaysia's actual demand.
- Petronas conducts all oil and gas transactions in US dollars routed through Singapore's foreign currency banking channels, giving Russia access to international financial networks via Malaysian oil trades.
- Malaysia's ringgit is not freely tradable due to currency controls in place since 1998, making the US dollar the only viable medium for the arrangement.
- Putin personally invited King Sultan Ibrahim to Russia's May Victory Day rally and gifted him an AURUS Senat — Putin's official car, not normally sold outside Russia — which will join the Royal Collection rather than Malaysia's Treasury.
- Sultan Ibrahim previously argued Malaysia's Petroleum Development Act 1974 should be amended so Petronas reports to the king rather than the prime minister, suggesting the monarch may unofficially steer the trading arrangement's long-term survival.
- Russian crude purchased under the deal could be delivered to India's Jamnagar Refinery and resold via Singapore traders, a route that would let India avoid US sanctions friction on Russian oil trading.
Why it matters: Putin's need for dollar liquidity amid Ukraine war sanctions is driving creative workarounds, and this Malaysia deal is structured to function independent of Malaysian energy demand. The arrangement effectively uses Petronas and Singapore's banking channels as dollar conduits, with durability tied to King Sultan Ibrahim's personal relationship with Putin rather than standard Malaysian government procurement.



