'Sunday Night Football' prediction, odds, time: Rams vs. Broncos picks from expert on 28-10 roll — SkimNews
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- Los Angeles Rams are 1.5-point road favorites over the Denver Broncos for Sunday Night Football at Empower Field at Mile High, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET and an over/under of 44 total points.
- Hartstein's pick leans Under 44, citing Denver's 2025 defense that allowed the second-fewest yards per game (278.2) and third-fewest points (18.3 ppg), alongside a Rams defense that gave up the 10th-fewest points (20.4 ppg).
- Rams receiver Puka Nacua (hip) is listed as doubtful, while offseason defensive additions Myles Garrett (knee, on injured reserve) and Aaron Donald are factored into a retooled Rams front seven.
- Hartstein framed the matchup as a ground-game battle favoring Los Angeles, noting Blake Corum (6.0 ypc) and Kyren Williams (5.5 ypc) outclass Denver's banged-up running back room and mitigate the early-season altitude disadvantage.
- The Rams are pursuing their third Super Bowl under coach Sean McVay and first since defeating Cincinnati 23-20 in Super Bowl LVI in 2021; the Broncos are chasing their first Super Bowl appearance since winning 24-10 over Carolina in 2015's Super Bowl 50.
- Hartstein enters on a 28-10 run across his last 38 picks involving the Rams — a stretch that has returned $1,701 per $100 bettors — and went 50-37 ATS (57.5%) in 2025, putting him at 643-555 ATS lifetime.
Why it matters: Bettors following Hartstein have seen $1,701 returns per $100 over his last 38 Rams picks, and with both teams ranked among the league's top-10 scoring defenses and both running back rooms compromised, the Under 44 lean rides directly on the specific player-availability notes — Nacua doubtful for L.A., Garrett on IR — rather than abstract trends.
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