2026 Scottish Open odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions by golf model that's nailed 17 majors
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- Genesis Scottish Open tees off Thursday at 2 a.m. ET at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland, with virtually every top player in the field and the Open Championship following next week.
- Scottie Scheffler is the favorite at +600 per FanDuel Sportsbook, followed by Rory McIlroy (+1000), Jon Rahm (+1600), and Matt Fitzpatrick (+1800).
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure and simulated 10,000 times per event, has correctly predicted 17 majors including the 2026 Masters — its fifth straight — and the 2025 PGA Championship and Open Championship.
- Jon Rahm is the model's top fade this week, projected to barely finish inside the top 10 despite being the third favorite, after he shot 5 over and finished outside the top 50 the last time he played this event in 2022.
- Wyndham Clark is flagged as a strong value at +2700, coming off a U.S. Open win with no finish worse than T11 in his past five events and back-to-back top-11 finishes at the Scottish Open.
- Chris Gotterup, the defending champion who also won last week's John Deere Classic, sits at +2700 on the odds board.
Why it matters: With a 17-major track record, SportsLine's model offers actionable, contrarian calls ahead of the Scottish Open — the final competitive tune-up before the Open Championship. Fading the third-favorite Rahm and backing Clark at +2700 challenges the odds board's top tier just days before the year's last major.
