What is a ‘super El Niño’ and what might it mean for the global climate?
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- Marc Alessi notes that while most models keep monthly temperature anomalies below 2°C, a nonzero chance of a +2°C spike exists, threatening dangerous climate tipping points.
- Union of Concerned Scientists warns a super El Niño could temporarily breach the 1.5°C temperature rise over preindustrial levels, a critical climate threshold.
- Pacific Ocean sea‑surface temperatures are shifting from La Niña to neutral, setting the stage for a possible super El Niño later this year.
Why it matters: Not enough in the article to say why this matters.
