Air Force vs. Army prediction, pick, odds, spread: Falcons seek Commander in Chief's trophy in West Point — SkimNews
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- Army hosts Air Force at Blaik Field at Michie Stadium in West Point on Saturday, Nov. 7 at 7:30 p.m. ET on CBS, with streaming on CBSSports.com, the CBS Sports App and Paramount+ Premium — the second of three service academy games this season.
- Air Force enters 6-2 and bowl-eligible after its win over UConn; a road win would secure the Commander in Chief's Trophy, its first since 2022, after the Falcons beat Navy 14-9 in Colorado Springs.
- Evan Medders missed the UConn win with a turf toe injury, and Howard Fisher — who began the year as the third stringer — may start; the two quarterbacks have combined for 23 pass attempts, 128 yards and two touchdowns.
- Cale Hellums is Army's leading passer and rusher, giving the Black Knights a quarterback advantage, while their defense ranks 83rd in scoring defense and 80th in rush defense in a season with three losses, including last week's defeat to Memphis.
- Army has allowed 33 yards on six punt returns all season while Air Force has given up six yards on three returns in its last five games, and both punters average more than 47 yards per boot — punt coverage can be as big as a turnover in a game with few possessions.
- SportsLine simulated every Week 10 college football game 10,000 times and is 80-77 on top-rated college football picks this season; its pick for Saturday is Under 44.5.
- Air Force has faced just two FBS opponents this season that finished below 40 points, one being the 14-9 Navy win, while Army has gone over the total in all but two games — figures the source cautions carry little weight in service academy games.
Why it matters: Air Force's shot at its first Commander in Chief's Trophy since 2022 rests on Howard Fisher after Evan Medders' turf toe injury, and the numbers point to a low-scoring grind: Army's Cale Hellums leads as passer and rusher, its coverage has allowed 33 yards on six punt returns, and SportsLine's model picked Under 44.5 after 10,000 Week 10 simulations.
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