Colorado State vs. Texas State prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football Thursday picks by proven model — SkimNews

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- Texas State is a 14-point home favorite over Colorado State at UFCU Stadium (8 p.m. ET), with the over/under sitting at 70.5 in the latest odds for the first-ever meeting between the programs.
- Colorado State enters at 2-3 (0-1 Pac-12) on a three-game losing streak and is 0-1 on the road, coming off a 56-26 home loss to Oregon State.
- Texas State also sits at 2-3 (0-1 Pac-12) but has won two of its last three and is 2-1 at home in 2026 after a 31-29 loss at San Diego State in Week 6.
- SportsLine's model, after 10,000 simulations, projects 63 combined points and hits the Under 70.5 in 65% of runs, while backing one side of the spread in nearly 60% of simulations.
- Colorado State QB Hauss Hejny (hamstring) is questionable after missing the last two games; redshirt freshman K'saan Farrar would start, having completed 61.2% of his passes for 649 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions in four appearances.
- Texas State QB Brad Jackson has completed 66.7% of his passes for 1,226 yards, 13 touchdowns and five interceptions across five starts this season.
Why it matters: Both clubs are 2-3 and tied for sixth in the Pac-12, so Thursday's loser drops further out of bowl contention while the winner picks up a much-needed conference win heading into the back half of the season.
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