PGA Tour 3M Open golf odds, trends: Surprise entrant Scottie Scheffler huge favorite in first event appearance
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- Scottie Scheffler opened as the +260 DraftKings favorite for the 3M Open in his surprise debut, creating an unusual odds gap with defending champion Kurt Kitayama at +2250 and no other player priced below +415 for a top-five finish.
- Scheffler arrives off a tie for fourth at the British Open — his 10th top-four finish of 2025 — despite holding just one win this season (January's debut), while still leading the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Total.
- Scheffler will be only the fifth world No. 1 to play a PGA Tour event in Minnesota since rankings began in April 1986, per the Minnesota Star Tribune, and none of the previous four won.
- British Open winner Ryan Fox of New Zealand withdrew from the 3M Open field to celebrate his first major; U.S. Open champion Wyndham Clark was the only major winner this year to play the week after a major.
- Hideki Matsuyama carries the PGA Tour's longest active cuts-made streak at 28 consecutive tournaments, listed at -300 to make the cut and +2800 to win his first Tour event since the Sentry to start 2025.
- TPC Twin Cities in Blaine is a par 71 measuring 7,431 yards, where 15-under is typically required to win and the tournament has never had a playoff (three one-shot wins).
Why it matters: Scheffler is the lone world top-10 player in a traditionally weak post-major field, creating a +260 vs. +2250 odds gap that's rare for any PGA Tour event. The Minnesota history adds context — none of the four previous world No. 1s to play there since 1986 won, meaning a Scheffler victory would break a 39-year state drought.
