2026 3M Open longshot picks, odds, PGA props: This golf parlay could return $65,000
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- Scottie Scheffler is the only top-25 ranked golfer in the 3M Open field and the +260 favorite, with defending champion Kurt Kitayama next at +2200.
- Emiliano Grillo has three top 10s in his last six starts at TPC Twin Cities, including two top-3s, and is listed at +7000 to win, +750 for a top 10, and +1200 for a top 5.
- Jackson Koivun, a 21-year-old who turned pro last month after two NCAA titles at Auburn and three straight SEC Player of the Year honors, is one leg of the model's parlay at +280 for a top 10 finish.
- Koivun's metrics would rank among the tour's top 10 in strokes gained: around-the-green and top 25 in SG: total and SG: tee-to-green if he qualified, per the model.
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated the tournament 10,000 times and produced a five-leg parlay paying out $65,000 on a $10 wager.
- The model's track record includes 17 majors nailed entering the weekend — the 2026 Masters (its fifth in a row), plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship.
Why it matters: With Scheffler the lone top-25 player in a weak post-major field, bettors chasing value must lean on dark-horse candidates like Koivun (+280 top 10), whose elite strokes-gained metrics and recent form make him the model's highest-conviction leg of a five-part parlay designed to turn $10 into $65,000.
